Skip to main content

Democracy in a Hotter Time - David Orr (Ed.) ***

There's a certain class of book that is beloved of academic authors, but that is often almost unreadable. It consists of a series of essays on a particular theme, each by someone different. Often they repeat each other, lack any cohesion and are deadly dull. I can only think that academics like doing them because it's a quick way to get a brownie point for having something published. This is such a book, but the good news is it's one of the most interesting ones I've read.

The idea is to pull together two major world concerns: climate change and the state of democracy. Although there are a range of views, they all come from the same broad starting point that democracy is faring worse than it has for quite a while, that dealing effectively with climate change is best handled by democracy (despite some grudging acceptance that China is finally starting to get somewhere), and considering some of the impacts of climate change itself.

The reason I'd say it's one of the more interesting such books is that the overall thesis is an interesting one I've not seen elsewhere and there is some reasonably effective analysis of the state of democracy. It's rather more variable on climate change, veering from 'it can be fixed with tech' to 'it's the end of the world'. A lot of the useful content is very specific to the US - as the cover suggests, this is a very US-centric book (in fact you might think, reading it, the weird US version of democracy is its only form). This might seem to miss the point that climate change is a global issue, though to be fair part of the whole 'democracy to deal with climate change' picture makes it clear that global institutions rarely make things happen - that's down to individual countries.

This feels more of a political book than a scientific one, and (as is common in politics) there are some dubious numbers thrown around without apparent sources. For instance, we are told that 'as much as 37% of greenhouse gas emissions' are down to the food system, where the best estimate I can find is 26%. We are told that 'almost half of farmworkers are poisoned yearly' - which seems an extremely unlikely number, and isn't backed up in any way. And, one essay claims that the Earth's average temperature rise since 1959 is 6 degrees Fahrenheit - where the generally respectable NOAA tells us it's 2 degrees since 1880 - quite a disparity.

When I've helped undergraduates with their essay writing skills, something I always stress is not to make fact-like statements without evidence - but that happens a lot here. For example, we are told ‘there can be no decarbonisation without democratisation' - based on what? The same section, by Hélène Landemore argues strongly for citizens' assemblies and referenda rather than leaving dealing with climate change to career politicians as the latter are too easily swayed by vested interests. But this does assume 'the people' will do the right thing, which is a significant assumption, again with no evidence provided to back it up. For example, until relatively recently, the majority of British people wanted a return to capital punishment. It was only career politicians that stopped us having it. 

At least, however, Landemore offers solutions (even if rather poor ones). Some sections,  for example David Guston's Governing Science, Technology and Innovation in Hotter Times are just loaded with academic buzzwords and offer little value. Sadly, a lot of the content takes form ‘to do this, things have to be like that’ with no suggestion at all of how to make the required transformation happen. For example, Ann Florini, Gordon LaForge and Anne-Marie Slaughter in Democratic Governance for the Long Emergency offer us ‘Information systems have to be designed to ensure that the basic data are accurate, the information extracted from those data are of value, and the information is interpreted using beliefs and judgment systems that are rooted in reality.’ That sounds easy, doesn't it? 

One final niggle - the thing I found most distasteful is a quote on the cover that starts 'The brave authors of this remarkable compendium'. I'm sorry, there's nothing brave about writing an essay. The word is being relentlessly misused - this is just the latest example. Please stop.

Overall, although the book suffers from the format, is far too US-oriented for a global problem, and contains some essays that are unreadable academic speak, or offer sweeping 'solutions' with no clue as to how they could be implemented, it's an interesting pairing of climate change with democracy and should be of interest to anyone studying either.

Paperback:   
Kindle 
Using these links earns us commission at no cost to you
Review by Brian Clegg - See all Brian's online articles or subscribe to a weekly email free here

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

David Spiegelhalter Five Way interview

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Emeritus Professor of Statistics in the Centre for Mathematical Sciences at the University of Cambridge. He was previously Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication and has presented the BBC4 documentaries Tails you Win: the Science of Chance, the award-winning Climate Change by Numbers. His bestselling book, The Art of Statistics , was published in March 2019. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017-2018), and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020. His latest book is The Art of Uncertainty . Why probability? because I have been fascinated by the idea of probability, and what it might be, for over 50 years. Why is the ‘P’ word missing from the title? That's a good question.  Partly so as not to make it sound like a technical book, but also because I did not want to give the impression that it was yet another book

The Genetic Book of the Dead: Richard Dawkins ****

When someone came up with the title for this book they were probably thinking deep cultural echoes - I suspect I'm not the only Robert Rankin fan in whom it raised a smile instead, thinking of The Suburban Book of the Dead . That aside, this is a glossy and engaging book showing how physical makeup (phenotype), behaviour and more tell us about the past, with the messenger being (inevitably, this being Richard Dawkins) the genes. Worthy of comment straight away are the illustrations - this is one of the best illustrated science books I've ever come across. Generally illustrations are either an afterthought, or the book is heavily illustrated and the text is really just an accompaniment to the pictures. Here the full colour images tie in directly to the text. They are not asides, but are 'read' with the text by placing them strategically so the picture is directly with the text that refers to it. Many are photographs, though some are effective paintings by Jana Lenzová. T

Everything is Predictable - Tom Chivers *****

There's a stereotype of computer users: Mac users are creative and cool, while PC users are businesslike and unimaginative. Less well-known is that the world of statistics has an equivalent division. Bayesians are the Mac users of the stats world, where frequentists are the PC people. This book sets out to show why Bayesians are not just cool, but also mostly right. Tom Chivers does an excellent job of giving us some historical background, then dives into two key aspects of the use of statistics. These are in science, where the standard approach is frequentist and Bayes only creeps into a few specific applications, such as the accuracy of medical tests, and in decision theory where Bayes is dominant. If this all sounds very dry and unexciting, it's quite the reverse. I admit, I love probability and statistics, and I am something of a closet Bayesian*), but Chivers' light and entertaining style means that what could have been the mathematical equivalent of debating angels on